Tuesday, October 30, 2007
i thought brian williams did a nice job of showing that his five nights behind the big desk has given him a wide range of information from which to mine questions.
tim russert continued to use quotes and statistics from the candidates themselves to frame his questions.
so who won? conventional wisdom says as long as hillary clinton doesn't make any major stumbles, she wins. but did she stumble? did obama draw the blood he promised in the times over the weekend?
let's break it down.
i think that was pretty clear... at least from my standpoint. he took the chris matthews approach and drew clear distinctions between himself and the front runner: hillary clinton.
his attacks were strong.... his distinctions clear.
he hammered and hammered and hammered away at clinton and took any spotlight away from obama.
will the attacks hurt him or help him?
i think his constant return to the theme of clinton's "double talk" may resonate. especially after something unforeseen happened with just a few moments remaining in the debate.
it was a simple question. only two minutes or so left in the debate. russert asked my girl about governor spitzer's plan to issue driver's license to illegal immigrants in new york. she said she supported his idea...or it seemed like a good plan.
then chris dodd went off....
then it happened. hillary backtracked and said she wouldn't necessarily support it.
why? why, hillary? you had this thing in the bag.....
edwards immediately pounced and said she just gave two different answers in a matter of two minutes. "double talk."
hillary had fended off attack after attack so well all night... she was particularly strong early in the evening. but as howard fineman of newsweek pointed out: she "came off like a politician."
a clinton stumble...... well, fuck me.
biden covered her ass a bit in the post analysis on msnbc saying she was clearly not decisive but held off on calling it "double talk."
his attacks were there...but they were subtle. he had a particularly strong moment when he called out hillary to release all correspondence between she and bill clinton during his presidency from the clinton archives. he said we're coming out of the most secretive administration in history. americans want transparency. he also said if she's running on her experience in the white house as first lady - why not release the records?
it was a good point......
no big surprise....joe biden. during a series of answers to a question about rudy giuliani doubting the experience of clinton and the other dem candidates.... biden said nobody is less experienced to run the country than bush but rudy giuliani.
then his great line: "rudy giuliani...there's only three things he mentions in a sentence: a noun and a verb and 9/11."
most bizarre moment, i
first off...who knew shirley maclaine was a godmother to one of dennis kucinich's children? secondly, in all seriousness, russert asked kucinich about an episode maclaine recounts in her new book that he saw a UFO and it was a deeply moving experience for him.
kucinich? yep....he saw it. freely admits it.
jesus...the man can't win.
most bizarre moment, ii
bill richardson defended hillary. he said other candidates were acting "holier than thou" and the attacks were boardering on personal. he said he trusts hillary...but he disagrees with her on big issues.
that's where the debate should be, argues bill. save the attacks for the republicans... keep the democratic debate positive.
well done, sir. i hope you get the v.p. job (if obama doesn't want it).
best spontaneous moment
when asked if he believes in life beyond earth, obama chuckled and then said, "i don't know... but i do know there's life here on earth." and then went on about how we need to take care of people in the united states that have been ignored too long.
it was a strong moment... one of his best.
- the first question went to obama - directly asking him about his plans to attack clinton.
- the next twenty minutes were spent on obama and edwards attacking hillary and she fighting them off.
- dodd also got in on attacking hillary. she handled it great...very strong in her answers.
- i still think hillary has the best body language. she's engaged when others answer. she nods and shakes her head. she smiles. i think it shows a great deal of confidence.
- the first question posed to bill richardson was 21 minutes into the debate.
- first question to kucinich? 22 minutes in.
- where was that ole kook, mike gravel?
- kucinich mentioned impeaching bush 3 times throughout the night.
- kucinich is very passionate about HR-676.
- bill richardson, bless him, just doesn't handle lightening rounds very well.
- this was clearly dodd's best performance in a debate.
- chris matthews clearly does not like hillary clinton and it's really starting to piss me off.
hillary...you're still my girl. now go clear up your stance on driver's licenses for illegal immigrants.
a state's issue.... causing hill to stumble....
Monday, October 29, 2007
"invade & bomb with hillary and rahm."
Friday, October 26, 2007
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
apparently, mitt romney can switch names just as casually as he switches positions.
Thursday, October 18, 2007
denny was the longest-serving speaker of the house in republican history. he held that post from january of 1999 until november of 2006 when he simply could not ride out the embarrassment of the mark foley scandal.
msnbc is also reporting this morning that senator sam brownback (r-kansas) will drop out of the republican race for president this friday.
the GOP field has already seen one casualty with former wisconsin governor tommy thompson dropping out earlier this year.
no word yet on any real pulse from fred thompson....
Wednesday, October 17, 2007
perry's endorsement is rudy' first from a sitting governor.
first read reports:
Perry cited the former mayor’s success in reducing crime and cutting spending during his tenure, in addition to his preparedness in dealing with terrorism, as reasons for supporting him.
i find it interesting that all these conservatives are jumping on the rudy bandwagon..... perhaps i overestimated how much rudy's social views would effect republican voters.
i truly think they find rudy in the best position to stop hillary in the general election.
what's most interesting is how much rudy is trying to paint himself as a true "red" republican during this primary season when all indicators point to his image as a "non-republican" that helps him in the general election with moderates and independents.
will his positioning hurt him if he makes it to the general election? hill seems to be roping in a lot of moderates and independents herself.
new cnn/opinion research poll
since this conversation has turned into a rudy/hill discussion, why not discuss some new poll numbers that came out yesterday?
rudy has increased his lead over second place fred thompson in the most recent numbers. but not because he's going up in the polls, but because the pick-up truck knight is sliding in the polls.
september numbers saw rudy leading at 28% with fred at his heels with 27%. mccain and mitt finished out the poll at 15% and 11%, respectively.
the october poll numbers show rudy down a point at 27% but fred tanking, now with only 19% of the vote (mccain 17% and romney 13%). perhaps fred is rethinking his lackadaisical approach to campaigning....?
meanwhile...in the blue corner:
hillary lead obama 46% to 23% in september. edwards was bringing up the rear with 16% of the vote. the october numbers show hillary continuing her ascent.
in yet another poll...hillary is higher than 50% with 51% of the vote. barack dropped slightly to 21% and edwards still can't get his engine started at 15%.
i believe there are now three polls where hillary has garnered greater than 50% of the vote... with eight candidates in the race.... that's an amazing number.
quickly: 64% of poll respondents think hillary will get the democratic nomination (obama 16%, edwards 5%) and giuliani will get the republican nod (rudy 50%, mccain 13%, thompson 11%, romney 9%).
when asked who will win the presidency? hillary scores 45% of the vote with only 16% of the vote thinking rudy will triumph.
this is a good primary season.
Monday, October 15, 2007
my job is a decision-making job, and as a result, i make a lot of decisions... [i'm here] to explain the philosophy behind some of the decisions i’ve made.
p.s. meet the press quote of the week
Friday, October 12, 2007
...the Clinton camp pick[ed] up a key endorsement from civil-rights leader Rep. John Lewis (D). In a statement posted on the Clinton campaign's Web site, Lewis says, “I have looked at all the candidates, and I believe that Hillary Clinton is the best prepared to lead this country at a time when we are in desperate need of strong leadership. She will restore a greater sense of community in America, and reclaim our standing in the world.”
That Lewis would endorse Clinton over Obama -- the first African-American with a legitimate chance of winning the Dem nomination -- is a blow to the Illinois senator's campaign.
Rep. John Lewis (D), a leader in the Civil Rights movement, endorsed Hillary Clinton today here at Paschal's Restaurant. "I believe Hillary Clinton will be a strong leader," he said. "I am convinced that with Hillary Clinton as president, no one will be left out or left behind."
"I am so grateful and I feel so blessed and profoundly honored to be standing here with one of the people I admire most," Clinton said in accepting the endorsement. She called Lewis a hero and said she saw her campaign as a continuation of his life's work.
The New York senator also took the opportunity the congratulate Al Gore on his Nobel Peace prize win.
"his strong commitment, reflected in political activity, lectures, films and books, has strengthened the struggle against climate change. he is probably the single individual who has done most to create greater worldwide understanding of the measures that need to be adopted."
Wednesday, October 10, 2007
i admit that 34 is not a momentous event. it's not turning 30 and it's not 35. i'm thankful that i'm not yet classified as "pushing 40" but i did find the occasion a reason to reflect.
i certainly had hoped by now that i would be in new york city.... if not having my plays produced at least working towards that goal.
and i find i have little time (nor energy) in my current situation......
certainly work plays a large factor and i'm most assuredly not happy in my job these days.
i continue to be eternally single... still waiting for the day that i may actually find love.
so i think on my life so far and i seem to only find disappointment. unanswered goals and dreams.
but then i look harder.....
the work i'm doing is good work. it's not motivated through selfishness (although the paycheck is nice) and i enjoy that my work may....in some respect....add to the greater good.
i am surrounded by a tremendous group of friends.... they mean far more to me than i fathom a partner ever could.....
my friends sally, steven & wolf took me to see the alley's production of 'arsenic and old lace' tonight. as my friend sally says, "it was a hoot." it could obviously never match the hilarity of the cary grant film but i had never seen it on stage and i was delighted.
is it a major piece of theatre? no.... but for a treat on my birthday..... and as a part of ushering in the halloween season..... i couldn't ask for more.
and now i'm home.... alone, yes. but comforted by the life i have created for me in this place.... the place i've long wanted to leave yet a place that has been surprisingly good to me.
several productions of my pieces... including two in recent years. ten minutes only, yes. but pieces of mine. out there.
and i'd be remiss not to mention my family.... far more supporting than i may have ever expected. a family that not only "accepts me" (what an idiotic phrase, really) but truly cares for me and loves me.
as the final minutes of my 34th birthday come to a close.... i do look at my life with a great sense of disillusionment and disappointment.
but at 34 i'm also smart enough to be thankful for what i do have.
and that ain't half bad......
Tuesday, October 9, 2007
Monday, October 8, 2007
new poll numbers
always a great place to start.
the latest ap/ipsos poll of the 2008 democratic candidates has senator clinton leading the pack with 46% of the vote. she's followed way behind by senator obama at 23% and john edwards at 11%.
it's not the 53% she has in the abc/post poll...but it's still a 23% lead over barack.
the same ap poll has rudy continuing his lead in the GOP race with 27% followed by thompson at 23%, mccain at 13% and romney holding on at 11%.
speaking of ap polls
louisiana state university received every #1 vote cast in the ap college ball poll this weekend. after southen cal's stunning loss to stanford on saturday, however, how could they not be?
my second sister-in-law kelly (also the second kelly), graduated from lsu. so i'm happy.... not crazy about their caged tiger.... but that's another entry.
texas lost to oklahoma at this year's red river rivalry.... so the fucking sooners are back in the top ten but texas is still in the top 25 coming in at #23.
i like to include that for my aggie readers who want to say they're better than texas. you beat fucking osu.... who hasn't beaten oklahoma state? anyway.... texas a&m.....? nowhere in the top 25.
but i digress.....
the des moines register poll
yes, my fellow political junkies.... my lovelies. this is the big one. this is the most revered poll in the run up to the iowa caucuses (scheduled january 3rd, officially, by the way).
while the audacity of obama does lead in another iowa poll, the register shows hillary topping the list with 29%. "hope is on the way" follows with 23% and obama has appeared to stall out at 22%.
the poll has a plus or minus of 5 points, i believe.... so that does put hillary out above a statistical tie.
john harwood uttered what i've been hearing on every political show and reading in every poltical post over the past week: "if [hillary] wins in iowa, the democratic race ends that night."
edwards and obama have to win iowa. but even if hillary comes in second - she can still pull off the nomination. john and barack.... it's iowa or nothing.
and everyone..... EVERYONE seems to be harping on this "dean, dean, dean" bullshit.... yes, howard dean was way ahead in 2004. but so what?
that was a different campaign. bush hadn't driven the american dollar down to equal the canadian dollar in worth at that point. think about that... the canadian dollar is worth the same as a fucking american dollar. what has bush done to us....?
electability is still a big factor, yes.... but we have a great field... i think people will be voting more from their gut this year. and hillary seems to be the favorite.
quickly....on the republican side: the des moines register has flip-flop in the lead at 29% with fizzled out fred at 18%, i heart huckabee third at 12% (good for him), "ground zero" giuliani at 11% and the straight talk express pulling in last at 7%.
i got side-tracked for a bit and had to watch the end of the dallas-buffalo game. after five intercepted passes off of golden boy romo (two resulting in touchdowns). a touchdown return on a kick off..... somehow.... somehow.... the bills still managed to lose in the last two seconds. field goal by dallas. final score: 25-24, dallas. jesus - buffalo just can't win.....
i'll hear it from my dad tomorrow.....
but hey - you know who loves the bills? tim russert.
meet the press quote of the week -or - let's talk about hillary
i'm happy to report that some very smart people have obviously been reading me and have picked up on my fear of hillary's non-answers.
despite the fact that hillary "broke the political sound barrier at 50%," as maggie carlson put it.... her stunning ability to dance around most answers has really begun to catch the eyes of the press corps.
ted koppel talked about being wary of "handlers" and that even they can overdo it.
i say let hillary be hillary. i stumbled across a great bit today where hill had stopped in a cafe and was drinking out of a pepsi cup. a gentleman from the press asked her: "diet or regular?" hill quickly came back: "ice tea. unsweetened." then after a pause: "news flash!"
the woman is funny. let her be herself....... if not, well, as our quote from david broder of the washington post says: "i believe if mrs. clinton sticks to her position of not saying anything about any subject, she will pay a price for that."
be yourself, hill. i saw you here in houston and you were flawless. have confidence in yourself and speak out.....
give 'em hell, hill....
other football musings
my houston texans beat miami this week to move ahead a 3-2 team. first time in franchise history. miami now drops to 0-5. ouch.
the boys looked..... ummmmm.... okay. but really - it was all kris brown. my little hottie in the compact package kicked three field goals over 50-yards long. the final, and game-winning kick, from 57 yards.
as all houston fans have been muttering: thank god for kris brown. and i don't even believe in god!
the packers fell apart in the second half of last night's game to lose to the bears. i love both of those teams...but i was cheering on my brett. who....as it turns out....shares a birthday with me. huh.
anyway...the packers fall to 4-1 which only leaves three undefeated teams in the nfl: indy, new england.... and please just kill me: the cowboys.
next week houston faces jacksonville. i want to say that we've won just about every competition against the jags. which is good... jack del rio just pisses me off. he looks like such a shithole.
but i digress.....
Friday, October 5, 2007
fuck me, i'm bored..........
Thursday, October 4, 2007
the new opinion...for the first time provided explicit authorization to barrage terror suspects with a combination of painful physical and psychological tactics, including head-slapping, simulated drowning and frigid temperatures.
the classified opinions, never previously disclosed, are a hidden legacy of president bush’s second term and mr. gonzales’s tenure at the justice department, where he moved quickly to align it with the white house after a 2004 rebellion by staff lawyers that had thrown policies on surveillance and detention into turmoil.
in a sharply worded, 27-page order, the judge found the idaho republican had freely given his plea after extensive discussions with prosecutors and after waiving his right to an attorney.
"The defendant, a career politician with a college education, is of at least above-average intelligence," porter wrote. "he knew what he was saying, reading and signing."
the progress of this disease is apparently erratic and unpredictable. it may well be that seven years from now, it will be stable. on the other hand, it may also be that the disease will have incapacitated me. i am not willing to take a chance that the people who have so honored me with their trust for 40 years might not be served as well as they deserve in the united states senate.
Wednesday, October 3, 2007
To most Americans, Bill Clinton looks good in retrospect: Sixty-six percent in this poll approve of the way he handled the job, while just 32 percent disapprove. And among those approvers [is that a word, dan balz?], seven in 10 favor his wife over Giuliani in their hypothetical match-up.
This doesn’t mean most people expect a Hillary Clinton presidency to be a replay of her husband’s; 67 percent say they’d expect her to take the presidency in a different direction, and the vast majority of them say that’s a good thing. (Notably, moreover, among the 27 percent who think a Hillary Clinton presidency would represent a resumption of her husband’s two terms, nearly half say that would be a good thing.)
quoting the survey:
While Clinton if nominated has the most "definite" voters, at 30 percent, only two candidates are ruled out by majorities of Americans: Republicans Mitt Romney – 57 percent say they definitely would not support him for president – and Fred Thompson, ruled out by 54 percent.
domenici has struggled with health problems over the last several years and has been dogged by questions about the role he may have played in the firing of u.s. attorney david c. iglesias in albuquerque. as a result, he had long been rumored as a potential retirement. domenici's senate office did not return a call this afternoon, but sources close to the senator say he will fly home to new mexico tomorrow to make the announcement that he is retiring.
Tuesday, October 2, 2007
we learned a very different lesson from that. ... what I learned in my vote on iraq was you cannot give this president the authority and you can't even give him the first step in that authority because he cannot be trusted.
some now seek to rewrite history. they argue that they weren't really voting for war, they were voting for inspectors. or they were voting for diplomacy... you need to ask those who voted for the war how can you give the president a blank check and then act surprised when he cashes it?"
if hillary wins [iowa], she rolls right through new hampshire and the game is over. hillary is in the finals. these two are fighting to get into the semifinals, or get into the finals. and i don't think edwards, if he wins, can go the distance. i do think obama can go the distance but he can't get beat in iowa.
Monday, October 1, 2007
yes, my lovelies... i'm back after a long hiatus.
i found this recreation of my trek through the midwest with my dear friend sally: little rock and a pilgrimage to pay our respects at the clinton library. wrigley field and the art institute of chicago. my birthplace. my grandparents’ final resting place. a winery in wisconsin with a riesling i actually liked. getting kicked out of an apple orchard.
and much, much more…. all in ten days time.
ask me about it sometime…. i’ll tell you all about it. until then….
it’s good to be back.