Tuesday, January 1, 2008

2 Days...


hola... happy new year!

last night hillary clinton's campaign announced they raised over $100 million in 2007...a first. that would mean she raised at least $20 million in the final quarter of last year.

you go, girl.

polls - democrats
realclearpolitics.com has lessened hillary's margin in iowa to 1.6 points. this is in large part due to the latest (and last) des moines register poll that has obama ahead by 7 points (outside the margin of error).

a lot of pundits, however, have problems with this new poll. they've changed the demographic make-up to the poll from all previous polls.... the biggest change - at least 50% of the poll respondents would be first time caucus goers. the number is never more than 25-35%. there's also a much larger number of independents and even republicans factored into the poll.

everyone believes the race is much closer than this poll would suggest... they also point to obama suddenly very strongly coming out negatively against both hillary and edwards. if he was so far ahead...he wouldn't need to attack.

this one will be close....

my father has an interesting prediction - one i like. 1st - edwards. 2nd - hillary. 3rd - biden. and 4th - obama. i'm going edwards - hillary - obama...but we'll see.

polls - republicans

i believe yesterday romney was up by 0.4 points on realclearpolitics.com, well today... huckabee is up by 0.4 points.

i finally had a chance to read some articles on huckabee's negative romney ad he decided not to air... but thought he'd show the ad to the press corps and then pat himself on the back when he said he wouldn't run it and "look how wonderful i am."

the press corps openly laughed at him.

beautiful...

still picking the hillbilly to take iowa.... but if romney can muster the troops - he'll take it.

2 days to go...

e.

No comments: